Back-test, last two yearsοΌ2024-10-16 ~ 2026-10-16οΌ
Trades8
Win rate87.5%
Avg / trade+18.55%
Worst tradeβ4.32%
Strategy return+239.30%
Annualised+84.30%
Max drawdownβ24.60%
Days in market10%
Avg drawdown inside a tradeβ9.57%
Full-position back-test from $10,000, 0.05% cost per side, fills at the official open/close. Prices are split/dividend-adjusted.
Equity curve
Since 2016 (same rules)
57 trades since 2016-01-06, win rate 68.4%, average +6.77% per trade, worst β47.51%, worst drawdown inside a trade β60.63%.
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The rules were fixed in August 2026 on 2016β2026 data, so this two-year window is inside the research sample, not out-of-sample. Only trades after 2026-08 are forward results.
Two years gives only single-digit trades; one trade moves the total a lot. The 10-year figures below are the steadier reference.
Drawdowns inside a trade are normal and large (the 10-year median is about β6%, one in ten worse than β20%). The rules have no stop-loss; size is the only risk control.
Trade log
Date
Action
Price
Return
Worst inside
2026-10-15
Buy (holding)
$98.35
β
β
2026-08-05
Sell
$131.98
+22.60%
β14.98%
π 15 more records Β· unlocked after purchase
Rule output only, not investment advice. Past performance, real or simulated, does not guarantee future results.