Scorecard 2026-08-31

Every 9:00 forecast scored against the actual session, plus the running tally.

Not scored yet (settles at 16:30 ET).

Running tally · 11 calls scored · direction hit rate 2/11 · avg Brier vs naive 0.292 / 0.289

Naive baseline = "close equals 9:00 price, always 55% up".

Full report: Morning report · Evening report

Archive 2026-08-28 · 2026-08-27 · 2026-08-26 · 2026-08-25 · 2026-08-24 · 2026-08-21 · 2026-08-20 · 2026-08-19 · 2026-08-18 · 2026-08-17 · 2026-08-14

Research output, not investment advice.