✅Scorecard 2026-11-10

By date: 2026-11-10 · All sections

Every 9:00 forecast scored against the actual session, plus the running tally.

CalledActual
P(up) 57% · close $671.5 · range $665.2–$676.7Open $672.54 · High $680.95 · Low $667.05 · Close $674.76 (Close vs 9:00 price +0.55%)
Direction✓ hit
Range inside band✓ hit 2.05% vs 1.05–2.90%
Expected high touchedyes
Expected low touchedno
Brier0.188 Brier (naive) 0.196
Close error0.48% Naive error 0.55%
Running tally · 64 calls scored · direction hit rate 30/64 · avg Brier vs naive 0.257 / 0.257

Naive baseline = "close equals 9:00 price, always 55% up".

Full report: Morning report · Evening report

Archive 2026-11-12 · 2026-11-11 · 2026-11-09 · 2026-11-06 · 2026-11-05 · 2026-11-04 · 2026-11-03 · 2026-11-02 · 2026-10-30 · 2026-10-29 · 2026-10-28 · 2026-10-27 · 2026-10-26 · 2026-10-23 · 2026-10-22 · 2026-10-21 · 2026-10-20 · 2026-10-19 · 2026-10-16 · 2026-10-15

Research output, not investment advice.